NCAA Tournament bubble watch: Winners and losers as conference championship week marches forward

Conference championship week in men’s college basketball features a way of avoiding . a sense of emergency for teams over the NCAA Tournament bubble.

Most intriguing are conference tournament matchups between two bubble teams. Win and advance. Or lose and wait to hear about your postseason fate.

Such was the problem for many Big East teams: Seton Hall started Thursday one of the “next four out” however vaulted within the line by knocking off fellow bubble foe St. John’s inside the Big East quarterfinals. St. John’s had just recently taken Xavier’s place one of the “last four in” to start every single day however will fall inside the forecasted field of 68.

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Duke’s season found an immediate finish transporting out an positive COVID-19 test with COVID-19 let for your team’s ACC Tournament game against Florida Condition to acquire referred to as off. Without playing that game, nowhere Devils’ credentials aren’t enough to go to dancing. Fellow ACC bubble team Syracuse could be a closer call. Transporting out a Orange defeated New You can Condition on Wednesday, they fell across the buzzer-beater to top-seeded Virginia.

Here’s overview of all the winners and losers over the NCAA tournament bubble from heading into Friday’s conference tournament action:


Seton Hall (First four out). The Pirates (14-12, 10-9 Big East) beat St. John’s 77-69 in overtime. This victory moves individuals towards the “first four out” however they have arrived at win Friday against Georgetown inside the semifinals to get this mixture for virtually any likely place inside the First Four. It hurts Seton Hall the Hoyas upset Villanova because the opportunity to overcome ‘Nova is the best boost for your profile. The Pirates’ tournament resume features a Internet score inside the high 50s like a weakness however a greater-30 strength of schedule might help.

Syracuse (In – No. 12 seed). Despite losing to top-seeded Virginia across the buzzer-beater on Thursday, the Orange (16-9, 9-7 ACC) are squeezing for the forecasted field one of the “last four in.” They have done enough by beating New You can Condition inside the second round – their third win consecutively. Still, without another game to find out, it’s likely to end up close for coach Jim Boeheim’s team. The committee will uncover just one Quadrant 1 win over the team’s profile.

Wichita Condition (In – No. 11 seed). The Shockers (16-4, 11-2) couldn’t afford a poor loss, so surviving Florida 68-67 inside the American Sports Conference quarterfinal matchup is really a much-needed win. WSU’s Internet score inside the 60s is tough, similar to just two Quadrant 1 wins. There’s however enough there otherwise, plus a top-15 non-conference strength of schedule.

Utah Condition (First four out). The Aggies (19-7, 15-4 Mountain West) hammered UNLV 74-53 inside the Mountain West Tournament quarterfinals to get consideration by getting an at-large bid. They’re presently over the “first four out” line because of there being 3 Quad 1 wins another Quad 2 victory over the resume. .

Ole Miss (Next four out). The Rebels (16-10, 10-6) will be the “next four out” group following an SEC tournament win over Sc. Coach Kermit Davis’ group has won three consecutively but lost to Vanderbilt on March 6 for virtually any major résumé stain. More winning is needed by getting an at-large bid.

Rutgers (In – No. 10 seed). The Scarlet Knights (15-10, 10-10 Big Ten) handled Indiana 61-50 inside the Big Ten tournament’s second round. Beginning every single day like a relatively secure No. 10 seed, this win fully safeguards Rutgers’ inclusion in March Madness. A larger-40 Internet score and five Quad 1 victories will likely be too appealing for that committee to overlook.

Maryland (In – No. 10 seed). Inside the matchup between two likely safe Big Ten bubble teams, the Terrapins (16-12, 9-11 Big Ten) got past Michigan Condition 68-57 inside the Big Ten’s second round before falling against Michigan on Friday. Five Quad 1 wins plus a top-15 strength of schedule solidifies an at-large bid.

Georgia Tech (In – No. 9 seed). The Yellow Jackets (16-8, 11-6 ACC) are not only found inside the bubble. Those are the hottest teams going dancing, getting won seven consecutively. Beating ACC bottom-feeder Miami (Fla.) 70-66 inside the tournament quarterfinal was necessary to avoid a late setback.

Connecticut (In – No. 9 seed). Another formality, the Huskies (15-6, 11-6 Big East) performed themselves inside the bubble because of 94-60 win over Big East doormat DePaul inside the quarterfinals.

Colorado Condition (In – No. 12 seed). The Rams (18-5, 14-4) are barely inside the forecasted field. Beating Fresno Condition 72-62 on Thursday inside the Mountain West Conference tournament was needed that you follow the very best side inside the bubble. Just two Quadrant 1 wins plus a strength of schedule of 120 won’t impress the selection committee, so CSU must win more to stay safe.


Southern Methodist (First four out). The Mustangs needed to win their opener inside the American Sports Conference tournament to acquire seriously considered by getting an at-large bid. They lost 74-71 to Cincinnati inside the quarterfinals despite Kendric Davis’ 35 points. Coach Tim Jankovich’s team has decent tournament credentials just one area the committee will probably harp on will likely be scheduling – SMU features a non-conference strength of schedule inside the 270s. Consequently, the program owns zero Quadrant 1 wins.

Duke (Out). Nowhere Demons (13-11, 9-9 ACC) showed up in this area to acquire playing themselves into NCAA Tournament contention after beating Louisville on Wednesday however an positive COVID-19 test within the program ended its season across the sour note..

St. John’s (First four out). After beginning every single day one of the “last four in,” Thursday’s loss to Seton Hall flipped the Red Storm (16-11, 10-9 Big East) to one of the “first four out.” The committee will probably save this team by helping cover their different Internet score inside the 60s plus a non-conference strength of schedule inside the 230s.

Boise Condition (In – No. 12 seed). The Broncos (18-8, 14-6 Mountain West) fell to Nevada 89-82 inside the quarterfinal inside the Mountain West Tournament. That setback – the next consecutive loss for your Wolf Pack – may be pricey by using this team that’s hanging onto a place inside the First Four. Boise State’s resume features the second best non-conference strength of schedule inside the u . s . states . states plus a Internet score inside the low 40s. But you’ll find just two Quadrant 1 wins to choose a poor loss to Fresno Condition.

Xavier (First four out). The Musketeers (13-8, 6-7 Big East) lost 70-69 in overtime to Butler inside the Big East tournament’s first round. That loss cost Xavier a try at playing inside the NCAA tourney. They went from “last four in” to “first four out” when using the loss now sit watching for tense Selection Sunday.

Stanford (out). The Cardinal (14-13, 10-10) solidified their place after losing inside the first round inside the Pac-12 tournament to California. Stanford reaches this mixture to notch an at-large bid before losing its final five games of year.

NCAA Tournament language explainer:

Internet means the NCAA Evaluation Tool, the barometer for that selection committee. It provides game results, strength of schedule, game location, scoring margin (capping at 10 points per game), and internet offensive and defensive efficiency.

Quadrant 1 wins: Home games versus. 1-30 Internet teams Neutral-site games versus. 1-50 Internet Away games versus. 1-75 Internet

Quadrant 2 wins: Home games versus. 31-75 Internet Neutral-site games versus. 51-100 Internet Away games versus. 76-135 Internet

Quadrant 3 wins: Home games versus. 76-160 Internet Neutral-site games versus. 101-200 Internet Away games versus. 136-240 Internet

Quadrant 4 wins: Home games versus. 161-plus Internet Neutral-site games versus. 201-plus Internet Away games versus. 241-plus Internet

Note: Most record details are utilized from The Internet rankings (NCAA Evaluation Tool) can also be a reference.

About our bracketologist: Shelby Mast remains projecting the place since 2005 on his website, Bracket W.A.G. He elevated to finish up a part of USA TODAY in 2014. Within the eighth season as our national bracketologist, Mast has finished one of the top three bracketologists formerly seven March Madnesses. He’s also predicted for that Indiana Star, that’s an inaugural part of the Super 10 Selection Committee. Follow him on Twitter @BracketWag.

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